I have a friend who works in enrollment at a university. He told me some years ago that with the data they have on applicants they can predict with worrying accuracy how students will fare in their education. They can point to a specific student and predict if he will fail, flunk, drop-out, shine, change majors or be brilliant based on his history, and the experience they have accumulated on other students with comparable history.
However, the exceptions – the ones that bucked the trend – justified giving those that met requirements a chance. He told me that the university tries to identify the ones that were at risk and offer them guidance to change whatever puts them at risk. This tended to be behavioral patterns such as being tardy due to unhealthy sleeping patterns (in parent-language: video games way into the night resulting in missing the first 2 classes), lack of organization, procrastination…
I think this applies to a lot of human interaction and behavior. We might not have the formal detailed data on wayward behavior that my friend has access to on student-behavior, but we know from repeated experience that EAs tend to become PA’s, that the WS will minimize, that it’s extremely rare that the BS get’s the truth to a usable level within the first week after d-day and so on.
The advice we offer on this forum is probably mostly based on that "statistical evaluation" we have. Albeit very unofficial and unquantified statistical information.
In my first post on your situation, I put forth some odds.
For example: The odds of THIS affair really being over is maybe 50/50.
It’s definitely "over" now, but as is its probably only a temporary action. It’s like when you wake up with the worst hangover and promise yourself never to touch alcohol again. That promise lasts maybe a couple of weeks before you decide to have a harmless beer with the guys. Just one… and one more…
It tends to be the same with infidelity. She resents not talking to him, so either she or he might send a message 3-4-5-6 weeks from now "you OK?". That’s it. Short, innocent… and the reply might be innocent too: "Yeah, been rough but things are calming" followed by "well… you know where I am if you need to talk to someone". Doesn’t matter who initiates and who replies – it’s leaving a path open and in MOST cases that path is taken eventually.
Actually I think it’s generally the spouse that thinks it’s gotten away with that initiates contact…
THAT is why you expose to his wife and why you talk to her friends BF/Husband. It’s not revenge, it’s not the morally right thing to do. Both are true though, but the MAIN reason you expose is because it gives your marriage the strongest possibility to survive. Ignore it and you remain in the 50/50 group.
Your responses… the huffing and puffing, leaving for the night, sleeping on the couch, silent treatment… Followed by dialogue you really can’t verify and she controls. ALL classic.
As is the way it goes. After 3-5 night on the couch the same bed, but with distance between. Then the "accidental" my-leg-went-over-to-her-area and she responded… Eventually you find a way to cohabit without really addressing the big pink elephant.
Is it rug sweeping? Well… yes. She hasn’t dived into why she felt entitled to do this. She maybe even doesn’t recognize this as an affair (if it was really "only" emotional) and – because 9/10 do so – minimizes it as "bordering a line" rather than as an affair.
All in line with the 50/50 chance of repeat group.
It’s your call… My friend told me that odds are only odds and sometimes they get someone that graduates on-time with great grades despite a history of tardiness, minimal grades on entry and so on. But it’s an exception – it’s something the note and are surprised about. We don’t want your marriage and its survival to be an exception…
Regarding exposure: You don’t have to tell OMW that her husband is having an affair. What you do is tell the truth:
"I want to share that I have concerns about the communications I have seen between my wife and your husband. I don’t think they are appropriate and urge you to question your husband about them."
Her friend’s husband/BF
"I have seen communications between my wife and F that supported my wife in inappropriate behavior. That communication gives me reason to think you should ask F about (and then you list what indicated she was cheating)"